Showing posts with label Republican Party United States. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Republican Party United States. Show all posts

Mar 16, 2016

Maybe The GOP Establishment Should Have Embraced John Kasich Sooner: Jonathan Cohn and Huff Po on the ronnie re

Maybe The GOP Establishment Should Have Embraced John Kasich Sooner

Once again, the party's obsession with Obamacare comes back to haunt it.

 03/15/2016 11:45 pm ET
X
Ohio Gov. John Kasich’s big win in his home state keeps him in the Republican race -- and puts him in position to contend seriously in states like neighboring Pennsylvania, where he’s headed next and where he would appear to be well-positioned to challenge both real estate mogul Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas).
But Kasich has no chance of getting a majority of pledged delegates from the caucuses and primaries, which means his only hope is a contested convention. And it will be difficult for Kasich to walk away from Cleveland with the nomination if, as seems likely, he enters the convention with fewer pledged delegates than either of his rivals. Such is the reality when you don’t win your first contest until the primary campaign is two months old -- and more than half of the delegates have been awarded.
On Tuesday night there were probably some Republican establishment figures -- desperate to stop Trump, highly unenthusiastic about Cruz -- wondering why they didn’t get behind Kasich some time ago. If so, they have only themselves to blame.
Kasich would appear to be a formidable candidate in the general election. He’s highly popular in his home state of Ohio, which happens to be a key swing state. He’s also got an easy, natural way with working-class voters -- and manages to espouse strongly conservative views in a folksy, unpolished way that connotes authenticity and disarms critics.  
But except for some former colleagues in the House of Representatives, where Kasich served before becoming Ohio’s governor, even moderates within the GOP establishment were slow to rally behind Kasich -- even after it became apparent that neither former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush or Florida Sen. Marco Rubio had a prayer of getting the nomination for themselves.
So what gives?
One possible reason is that Kasich, for all of his conservative positions on issues like abortion and taxes, committed the ultimate act of Republican heresy: He had his state participate in the Affordable Care Act’s expansion of Medicaid.
Of course, Kasich wasn’t the only Republican to do so -- Arizona’s Jan Brewer and Michigan’s Rick Snyder, among others, did the same thing. But when Republicans in the Ohio legislature and conservatives across the country tried to stop Kasich, Kasich fought back -- making not just the obvious pragmatic argument (that Ohio was better off taking the federal money that went with the expansion) but also a moral argument (that letting poor people suffer and even die from lack of insurance was wrong).
Speaking to reporters in 2013, Kasich said, "Now, when you die and get to the meeting with St. Peter, he’s probably not going to ask you much about what you did about keeping government small. But he is going to ask you what you did for the poor. You better have a good answer.  "
Making matters even worse, Kasich invoked similar logic when he refused to endorse mass deportations. This may have been the only position more toxic in Republican politics than challenging party orthodoxy on Obamacare -- and, once again, Kasich defended it on moral grounds. 
"I couldn't even imagine how we would even begin to think about taking a mom or a dad out of a house when they have not committed a crime since they've been here, leaving their children in the house," he said at one Republican debate. "That is not, in my opinion, the kind of values that we believe in."
Kasich's refusal to endorse mass deportations should not have been a profile in courage, and the same goes for his decision to embrace the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid expansion. There’s actually a long history of Republicans working with Washington to implement safety net programs, even when they don’t like the design of those programs. But that was before the party lurched right on immigration and health care, and the party establishment went along.
Today, with Bush and Rubio out of the race, and Trump threatening outright to claim the nomination, more Republican leaders might be willing to overlook Kasich’s heresies -- a few weeks too late to do any good.


copied from the huffington post

Mar 9, 2016

Cats For Kasich: Bo Glo on The Ronnie Re

Why Kasich is the unlikely linchpin in GOP’s plan to stop Trump

John Kasich spoke at the Lansing Brewing Company in Lansing, Mich., on Tuesday.
CARLOS OSORIO/ASSOCIATED PRESS
John Kasich spoke at the Lansing Brewing Company in Lansing, Mich., on Tuesday.
GROSSE POINTE, Mich. — At a town hall-style meeting here, John Kasich singled out a group of students in the audience and ruminated on the importance of standing up to bullies.
“The key to life is finding your purpose and doing it,” he said, walking over to them with a microphone in hand. “Sometimes it’s standing in between the person that’s being bullied and saying: ‘Stop it.’ That changes the world, you know that?”
Over the next week, the larger purpose of the Ohio governor’s own campaign is shaping up along similar lines: Mainstream Republicans want Kasich to be the person who stands up to the bully in the 2016 primary, Donald Trump.
The Ohio governor hasn’t won a single primary contest in 2016, and, before the ballots were counted in Michigan Tuesday, his delegate total was less than 10 percent of Trump’s. His only previous signs of strength have been second-place finishes in New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Vermont. He is so far behind in the delegate count that he has virtually no chance of claiming the nomination — unless he somehow prevailed at a brokered convention.
Despite all that, the Republican establishment sees Kasich as the unlikely linchpin of its strategy to derail Trump. The party was counting on Kasich to use his Michigan performance Tuesday as a springboard to winning his delegate-rich home state of Ohio next week — denying Trump a big boost in delegates.
Trump prevailed in Michigan Tuesday night. Kasich and Senator Ted Cruz were battling for second place, according to early returns.
The real test for Kasich comes on March 15. Ohio and Florida are the key prizes among the six contests that day. It will be Kasich’s moment: The brunt of the argument for his candidacy so far is that he can deliver his home state.
“Our campaign strategy was built knowing that the nominating calendar is front-loaded to benefit the other candidates in the race, while it shifts more and more toward a Kasich candidacy the deeper we go into it,” wrote chief Kasich strategist John Weaver in a memo over the weekend.
Republican Party leaders panicked over a possible Trump nomination are desperately hoping Weaver is right.
To stem Trump’s accumulation of delegates and possibly block his path to the nomination, Republicans not only need Kasich to win Ohio, but also for Senator Marco Rubio of Florida to win his home state. If Trump wins both delegate-rich, winner-take-all states, he will be well on his way to accumulating the 1,237 delegates required and will be almost impossible to stop before the GOP convention in Cleveland.
Rubio is so far back in the polls in Florida that Kasich, who is running even with Trump in Ohio, has the better chance of making this novel strategy work.
“Kasich has no mathematical chance to get enough delegates to win,” said Scott Jennings, a Republican strategist who ran Mitt Romney’s 2012 operation in Ohio.
“Clearly his strategy is about forcing a contested convention, and getting it to the floor, and convincing delegates that putting an Ohio governor on the ballot is a smart way of winning the White House.”
Jennings added: “He thinks he’ll have more friends on the floor than Donald Trump.”
One of those friends is, oddly, Romney. The two had a tense relationship in 2012. But on Tuesday, Romney unleashed a robocall to Michigan voters, urging them to support Kasich.
Another theory about Kasich’s strategy goes like this: If he can’t beat Trump, he could always join him. In a contested convention, it’s possible that Kasich’s delegates — if added to Trump’s — would be enough to push Trump over the top and win the nomination. Under that scenario, the country could see him as a vice presidential running mate.
Kasich was first elected governor in 2010 and won reelection by a 30-percentage point margin. He’s stayed popular in his home state even as his ambitions broadened, enjoying a 62 percent approval rating as of October.
In this campaign, he’s tried to blaze a path as the reasonable adult who doesn’t roll in the mud with the other candidates. He’s the only candidate in the field who hasn’t mounted a sustained campaign of verbal insults against Trump, though his super PAC was among the first to run ads against him in Ohio and New Hampshire last year.
Trump has offered some kind words to Kasich — and tangled with him late last year only after reports that Kasich’s super PAC was preparing a larger onslaught of ads. The news stories prompted a tweet storm from Trump in which the GOP front-runner derided Kasich as a “dud” who wasn’t getting traction.
“I’m not engaging in the negative attacks,” Kasich told an audience in Michigan on Monday. “There’s a lot of reasons not to do it, but one of the reasons not to do it is because it obscures my purpose.”
So while Trump has grabbed attention with proposals to wall off Mexico and ban Muslims, Kasich’s biggest moment sprang from his capacity for empathy.
Last month at an event at Clemson University in South Carolina, a young man stood up and said his life has been difficult: An adult close to him — a “second father” — had committed suicide. His parents had recently divorced, and his father had lost his job.
“I was in a really dark place for a long time,” the man said. “I was pretty depressed. But I found hope. I found it with the Lord, and my friends, and now I’ve found it in my presidential candidate who I support. And I’d really appreciate one of those hugs you’ve been talking about.”
As the man spoke, Kasich stepped down off the stage and embraced him for a full 17 seconds, patting him on the back as the audience applauded.
In Michigan this week, Kasich was just as free with the hugs, reaching over a barrier to wrap his arms around a young woman who stood up to tell him she’d had a rough year.
“What you’re seeing is genuine and real,” said Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine, a Republican politician who has known Kasich for nearly four decades. “He has a real heart for the underdog.”
A pivotal part of Kasich’s gubernatorial record is his decision to expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act, accepting millions in federal funds that many conservative governors turned down as a way of protesting President Obama’s health care plan.
He’s defended his decision in religious terms. “When I get to the pearly gates, I’m going to have an answer for what I’ve done for the poor,” he said, according to local news reports.
Kasich championed a law to restrict collective bargaining among public service unions early in his tenure. The measure went to Ohio voters on a ballot, and they slapped it down.
On the campaign trail, he positions himself as the mature populist. “The people who need to have a voice are the ones who don’t have a lobbyist,” Kasich said earlier this week. “For all of you who feel like you’re being ripped off, I would give you a voice.”
He added: “I am not an order-taker for the establishment.” But, next week, if Kasich wins Ohio and Rubio loses Florida, the Ohio governor would be the last place the Republican establishment could turn.
Annie Linskey can be reached at annie.linskey@globe.com. Follow her on Twitter @annielinskey.

copied from the bostonglobe.com

while Chloe's mom, Chloelouise, is devoted to and voting for Hillary Clinton, Chloe Louise Langendorf Louis is endorsing John Kasich as a reasonable leader for the Republican Party.


Cats for Kasich

Mar 7, 2016

Rust Belt Favorite John Kasich Beats Trump in Michigan Polls: Philly.com on the ronnie re--Cats for Kasich


GOP and the Kasich situation in Michigan



Attytood

SUPER SATURDAY? Really? Saturday's mish-mosh of primaries and caucuses has to go down as one of the most boring and predictable days of the 2016 campaign so far. On the GOP side, Donald Trump won the states where people think Barack Obama was born the Antichrist or in Kenya or both (Kentucky, Louisiana) while Ted Cruz rules the Bible Belt; the fist-shaking prairie populists voting for Bernie Sanders on the Democratic side are drowned out by near unanimous black support for Hillary Clinton in the South.
Meanwhile, the real bombshell of the campaign was buried . . . as usual:
A new ARG poll out of Michigan, which votes on Tuesday, found that Ohio Gov. John Kasich has inched ahead of Trump, 33 percent to 31 percent. Kasich had nearly doubled his support from the last poll, while their two rivals were far behind.
If Kasich can actually beat Trump in Michigan - a big "if" . . . we'll know in 48 hours - that could be, to coin a phrase, a game-changer for the GOP establishment. It could actually give the party elites a way out of the Trump fiasco, if they're smart, which of course we haven't seen so far.
If Kasich wins Michigan, he becomes the odds-on favorite to win the winner-take-all primary in his home state of Ohio on March 15, and could have a strong showing that night in Illinois as well. Most of the big Northern and Midwestern industrial states haven't voted yet.
But here's the thing: Marco Rubio, running the biggest joke of a presidential campaign this side of Pat Paulsen, needs to leave the race, ASAP. He has no chance at the nomination and will probably boost Trump by losing to him March 15 in Florida (also winner take all).
Pundits who see Trump's nomination as inevitable fail to notice that so far he has less than 50 percent of the pledged delegates. A three way race with Cruz as candidate of the evangelicals, Kasich as candidate of the Rust Belt and Trump as candidate of the GOP's lunatic core would ensure that no one gets the 1,237 delegates needed to win on the first ballot.
What then? A lot of delegates may be GOP establishment plants who can't wait to ditch Trump and go to the elite candidate - Kasich - on the second or third ballot. It's that simple - Trump denied. Would his supporters then "burn down Cleveland," as a couple of folks suggested to me on Twitter? Perhaps.
- Will Bunch








cats for kasich